In an opinion article in the Wall Street Journal says Karl Rove, former senior adviser and Deputy Chief of staff for President George w. Bush, the incumbent President is not likely to win re-election. Below are the main points of declaration that Rove gives, categorized under what he considers to be "four serious threats."
1. Economy
Unemployment is at 9.1%, nearly 14 million Americans out of work. Almost half the unemployed have been without work for more than six months. Mr. Obama promised much better to explain that his February 2009 stimulus would cause unemployment to peak at 8 percent at the end of the summer 2009 and drop to around 6.8% today.
In Wednesday's Bloomberg poll finds Americans that they are worse than when Mr. Obama took office by 44% to 34% margin.
The former President re-elected with the unemployment rate of 7.2% was FDR in 1936. Ronald Reagan overcame 7.2% unemployment because the speed drop dramatically (it had been more than 10%) as the economy grew very rapidly in 1983 and 1984. Today, however, says the Federal Reserve growth will be less than 3% this year and less than 3.8 percent next year, with unemployment of 7.8% and 8.2% of election day
2. Losses in key voter bases
Jewish voters are disgusted with their policy towards Israel, and left-wing bloggers at last week's NetRoots Conference was angry over Mr. Obama's failure to deliver a left-wing utopia. Weak support would greatly restrict Jewish Mr. Obama margin in States such as Florida, while a disappointed the left could deprive him of volunteers that are so critical to his success in 2008.
Mr. Obama's standing has dropped among other, larger groups. Gallup reported his job approval rating Tuesday at 45 percent, down from 67% to its first. Among the groups that show a larger-than-average decrease since 2009 is white (down 25 points). older voters (24). independent and college-academics (both down 23), those with a high-school education or less, men and the South (all down 22). Women (down 21 points). married couples and those who earn $ 2,000-$ 4,000 per month (down 20).
Acceptance among the younger voters has dropped 22 points, and it has dropped 20 points among Latinos. Even African-American voters are less excited about Mr. Obama than they were – and than he needs them to be. For example, if their share of the turnout drops only a point in North Carolina, is Mr. Obama 2008 winning margin it was two and a half times over.
3. the Unpopular policy
In June 13, NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, 56% disapprove of Mr. Obama's handling of the economy. Fifty percent of the Economist/YouGov poll of 14 June disapprove of how he dealt with the deficit.
According to yesterday's Pollster.com average of the last tests approve 38% of ObamaCare, while its average when the Bill was passed examination in March 2010 showed that 41 percent approved.
4. Poor strategic decisions
While he has to raise money and organize, he decided to be a candidate this year instead of President. He was therefore unnecessary abandoned one of the market's major strengths, which is the ability to control and distance himself from party politics into next spring. Instead, Team Obama has attacked potential GOP opponents and slandered the Republican proposal with abandon. It is not what the public is seeking from previous Apostle of hope and change.
Short URL: http://uselectionnews.org/?p=4158
Posted by Amelia Rufer Jun 24 2011. Filed under Democrat, Obama in 2012. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry
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